There's a few dozen other pitchers who have that perfect four-seam/curveball mirror combination down, including Aaron Nola, Joe Musgrove, Drew Pomeranz -- who we called out last winter for dominating with just a four-seamer and a curve, in advance of his four-year contract -- and our personal favorite, Cleveland's two-pitch monster and Bieber's teammate, James Karinchak. Transaction. For a batter, Best Speed is an average of 50% of his hardest hit balls. Its almost getting ridiculous analyzing Corbin Burnes pitch mix because every pitch he throws is that good. Pomeranz became a 2016 All-Star for SanDiego before his trade to the Red Sox. Unfortunately, we are dealing with a relatively small sample size of curveballs (especially compared to when I looked at fastballs). Dead Ball era ace Mordecai (Three Finger) Brown flummoxed hitters with a curveball that spun crazily out of a make-do grip: He had lost part of his right index finger in a threshing-machine accident, mangled his middle finger chasing a rabbit and had no use of his pinky. In 2021, Mortons curveball was the highest rated pitch by Baseball Savants Run Value metric, which quantifies how much a pitcher limits run creation with a certain pitch. BA Newsletter: Get Analysis, Rankings Delivered To Your Inbox! Shane Bieber, Curveball vs. Slider Release pic.twitter.com/W3liyk75tk Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) August 26, 2020 No pitch has inspired more legends, myths, fear, grips, nicknames, and ooohs and aaahs. As you can see in the image, sliders have one of the widest groupings of different types of speed and spin. The concepts discussed in the following sections are proven techniques for increasing pitching velocity at a youth level. Instead, the doctor told McCullers to keep on snapping hooks. The slider comes out at a 4:30 spin direction, and the curveball at 5:00, which is just this side of identical.\n\nFrancona's right about the \"identical speed,\" since the slider is 84.5 mph and the curve is 83.6 mph. Based on the way you were born and the way you throw a baseball is the way your curveball is going to break.. But finding a guy who can actually spin a ball, it's a skill teams are looking for more now because it's a differentiating factor. All rights reserved. Sam had the best curveball I ever saw, said Musial, who batted .122 in 49 atbats against Jones. How much spin, in revolutions per minute, a pitch was Now go back to what Francona said, about having never seen "a pitcher where he's got a curveball and a slider that are almost the identical speed that just have different break.". The Braves average velocity is 86.7 MPH. The study found that a bat weighing 20 ounces produced a batted ball velocity of 68.5 mph, while a 40-ounce bat produced a velocity of 80.4 mph. In terms of data acquisition, I wrote a quick script that mined the xml files for all the games from 2008-2011. But wait, let's not forget about what Gardenhire said -- about the cutter playing off the four-seamer, how it "cuts it out of the same delivery." May 25 2022. evenflo 1555 replacement parts. #FantasyBaseball pic.twitter.com/vtv9Lf7VhB. I've had the opposite as well, where you think you can change the mix, then once you have the player, he's not capable or doesn't want to make the change. Fastball . The Astros, who led the majors in curveball usage last year, have built a rotation around ace Dallas Keuchel, whose 79-mph slider acts like a short curveball, and curveball specialists McCullers, Charlie Morton, Mike Fiers and the injured Collin McHugh. A higher ratio means more difficult to hit. A hitter knows off the hands when the ball hits his sweet spot and it's going to be a homer. All in all, hitters mustered just a .126 batting average against the sharp breaker. Different break indeed. In the 2011 MLB season, right-handed batters hit 1,749 home runs off fastballs and swung and missed on 16,622. xBA measures the likelihood that a batted ball will The data is showing, if the curveball is your best pitch, use it more often, says manager John Farrell of the curveball-mad Red Sox. To do that, we're going to show you a new tool that's available on Baseball Savant. thrown with. Grip begets force. As former Kentucky congressman Ben Chandler once said on behalf of the great diaspora who know the feeling too well, I was planning to be a baseball player until I ran into something called a curveball.. (For example: Lucas Giolito's four-seam has a 11:15 direction, while his very good changeup has a 10:45. Of the four teams with the slowest velocitiesBraves, Padres, Cubs, and Red Soxhalf own losing records. He allowed just a .160 batting average, and .203 xwOBA, which was third lowest behind Corbin Burnes and German Marquezs curveballs. If there is one pitch that I can replay over and over in my head, its Kershaws curveball. Curveballs on both the inside and outside part of the plate are considerably more difficult to hit, with inside curveballs (SS:HR = 51) about 7x more difficult than curveballs down the middle (SS:HR = 7) and outside curveballs (SS:HR = 108) about 14x more difficult. raw numbers and as a measurement against average. No pitch causes major league hitters to freeze more often. What's a hitter supposed to do with that? Feels like I need to do a deeper dive on Musgrove. the fastest reactions and most direct routes in the That is, if it's even a changeup at all. So, if we simply compare the likelihood of swinging and missing versus hitting a home run between fastballs and curveballs, we can say that in this respect, curveballs are twice as difficult to hit than fastballs. Last week I highlighted the best changeups in baseball, and this week, Ill be covering the best curveballs in baseball. Says Luhnow, Yes, I agree, which is why there's a lot of focus in the amateur world on finding guys who can spin a baseball. With emphasis on top spin, it will, more often than not, come out and fall off the same plane as my fastball.". They all come out the same, in terms of spin direction, between 11:00 and 12:00. The second-lowest spin belongs to Carlos Martinez at 1,380 rpm, and as you'll see, it's another example of spin not correlating to velocity.VelocityHighest velo: 85.9 mph, MartinezMLB average: 78.2 mphLowest velo: 67.9 mph, WeaverIf it sounds like we're repeating ourselves, we are: Weaver and Buerhle have the two slowest pitches here.KNUCKLE CURVESometimes known as a "spike curve," a knuckle curve is an odd creation in that curveballs are supposed to spin at high rates and knuckleballs aren't. We simply state that you need to throw out to 120 feet before meeting the criteria to begin throwing off a mound. Let's let the experts explain it. I just kept throwing curveball after curveball, and guys weren't hitting it, Pomeranz says. The more incredible thing is sticky stuff wasnt a factor for Morton, whose spin rates stayed the same all season. Other pitchers of that era, including Fred Goldsmith, also claimed to have thrown curveballs, but Cummings defended his legend as its inventor so often and so well that in 1939, 15years after dying, he was enshrined in the Hall of Fame with a plaque that reads, Invented curve as an amateur ace of Brooklyn Stars in 1867. His enshrinement came five weeks after Goldsmith went to his grave clutching an 1870 newspaper clipping that he insisted proved he was the original curveball artist. Neither Chapman nor Rosenthal threw the seasons fastest pitch.On April 28, Boston Red Sox relief pitcher Joe Kelly threw a two-seam fastball 102.2 MPH. Anthony Rizzo fouled it off. [ 1][dead link] A typical curveball in the major collegiate level and above will average between 65 and 80 MPH, with the average MLB curve at 77 MPH. A week after finding himself on the best changeups list, Uras finds himself on the curveball list too. Additionally, you can subscribe to Baseball America's newsletter and receive all of our rankings, analysis, prospect insight & more delivered to your inbox every day. Though they spin in opposite directions, because he throws both with a true overhand delivery, creating pole-to-pole rotation, the pitches first look exactly alike to a hitter: a gray circle. Fried's 74 MPH hammer is one of the . Curveballs rotate in the opposite directionthey have topspinbut slow spin or a tilted-spin axis can reveal to the hitter streaks of red across the gray circle, a tip-off from the spinning seams that the pitch is a breaking ball. Drew would perfect the technique while sitting on a couch, flicking the ball into the air over and over. Boras expected ElAttrache to tell McCullers to throw more fastballs. He thought the way my arm moves and the way I throw it and hold it, I actually do the least amount of damage to my ligament, McCullers says. The curveball drops 53.6 inches (that's 6.2 more than curves at similar speed, which is very good) with 9 inches of horizontal break. Whereas old school was more like, No, establish the fastball, pound the heater and wait until they prove they can hit it.' Are you sure you arent reading too much into the 84 mph velocity issue? A good one will look like a fastball out of the pitcher's hand, but arrive at the plate slightly slower and lower. Giolito's chart looks like a lot of other righty pitchers, like Hendricks or Zach Davies or Sixto Snchez, in that they're trying to get their changeup spin direction to look like their fastball out of the hand, then kill that spin on the way to the plate. This is just an easier tool to get Major League in-game data out of. Curveballs down in the zone are much more difficult to hit. a batted-ball event with a launch angle between eight The second slowest was Kyle Lobstein (81.5 mph).SPLIT-FINGER FASTBALLThe split-finger fastball, so named for the grip used to throw it, is known to "have the bottom drop out" as it nears the plate. MLB's Best Curveballs; Analysis . 09/01/2017. I got all my data from the mlb gameday website: That being the case, it might help explain why Bieber's fastball/curve combination is so lethal. The Braves average velocity is 86.7 MPH. It used to be the baseball equivalent of a Dodge City showdown at high noon. Lacks the curve's hump.' Finally, I know me saying that a curveball has to stay down to be effective isnt news to anybody. Kershaw has thrown 3,863 curveballs in his career and allowed only nine home runs on it, with a ridiculously low .127 batting average on the pitch. Clayton KershawHoly f*cking curve pic.twitter.com/5pSBBP3UEQ, Colby Olson | [1] A typical curveball in the major collegiate level and above will average between 65 and 80 mph, with the average MLB curve at 77 mph. He threw his curveball on 34% of pitches, which was the fourth highest curve usage, but even despite such high usage, Uras held hitters to a .181 wOBA, 6th lowest among starters with more than 300 curves thrown in 2021. A fastball with sink has low backspin and drops through the strike zone. First, some quick notes on velocity, pitch usage, and myriad other interesting stats. It's tough to teach people. Curveball over the MLB average. So Boras brought McCullers to NealS. ElAttrache, an orthopedic surgeon in LosAngeles. Their pitching staff throws the ball five . When it comes to entire pitching staffs, the Colorado Rockies have the leagues highest average velocity (90.4 MPH) and highest average perceived velocity (90.22 MPH). They are clearly not similar at the plate if you're the unfortunate hitter. FIFA World Cup - Best Goals from Every Angle, Draw for the FIFA Women's World Cup Australia & New Zealand 2023, Sports Illustrated, Tom Verducci/Sports Illustrated, FOX SPORTS, SPEED, SPEED.COM & 2023 Fox Media LLC and Fox Sports Interactive Media, LLC. In Little League, when you returned to the dugout after seeing a new pitcher, your teammates didnt ask about movement or break. Take a look at them. Average Velocity Difference: 7.7 mph Standard Deviation: 2.2 mph Maximum: 15.6 mph - Chris Sale Minimum: 3.2 mph - Yovani Gallardo Range: 12.4 mph The slider features the largest range between. In baseball, exit velocity is a measurement of how fast the ball leaves the bat. ","type":"markdown","__typename":"Markdown"},"$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({\"locale\":\"en-us\",\"slug\":\"new-statcast-tool-measures-pitch-spin-direction\",\"type\":\"story\"}).parts.7.data":{"html":", Shane Bieber, Curveball vs. Slider Release pic.twitter.com/W3liyk75tk, Shane Bieber, Fastball & Cutter, Overlay. pic.twitter.com/yxyr5scv7x. So you get the idea. By the time it gets to the plate, those three non-curve pitchers are doing very different things. The pitcher caught Boston first baseman Sean Casey looking at such a rainbow of a pitch for strike three that Scully gushed, Oh, what a curveball! Shane Bieber, 94mph Fastball (foul) and 83mph Curveball (Sword K), Overlay.Why you might swing at a CB in the dirt. 1. It was most viewers' first introduction to the frightful plunge of the Clayton Kershaw curve, a classic 12-to-6. His nasty knuckle-curve and rising fastball combination have kept him at the top of the reliever game for more than a decade now. When youre dealing with fastballs traveling at, or near, 100 miles per hour, Id think a foot or two wouldnt matter. For example, here's Lance Lynn, famous for throwing one of his various fastballs 90% of the time. He just broke off Public Enemy No. The approaches I used to answer the curveball problem were very similar to the approaches I described previously. The Astros, for instance, rescued McHugh and his 8.94ERA from the scrap heap before the 2014 season because his high-spin curveball caught their attention. Williams isn't trying to bother. Remember: On the left is the spin direction as it's inferred by movement at the plate, and on the right is what's actually directly measured out of the pitcher's hand. Cummings pitched 10years before a sore arm sent him off to a career in painting and wallpapering. Unfortunately for him, high spin isn't really what you want from a sinker, as it got the lowest whiff rate and lowest grounder rate of any of his four pitches. Next up in Part II, I can plan to look at curveballs from a called strike point of view to see what types of curveballs batters are more likely to take for called strikes. Stay tuned! So I just kept throwing it more and more.. http://www.fangraphs.com/statsd.aspx?playerid=3057&position=C&type=6&gds=&gde=&season=2011. Pitch Movement. velocity and launch angle. Four years of practice later, Cummings, then pitching for an amateur Brooklyn team as a 5'9", 120-pound righthander, broke out his new pitch in a game against Harvard University on Oct.7, 1867. Curveballs left up in the zone (aka hanging curveballs) are only 3x more likely to be swinging strikes. -The average velocity is in parenthesis next to the % of the pitch thrown. Exit velocity is not the end-all, be-all stat for an offensive baseball player, but when a player hits the ball hard, usually good things happen. It spins (2,373rpm) more slowly than the average curve (2,500), and also travels (73.3mph) more slowly than average (77.8). On the other end, you have Joe Kelly, who possesses a knuckle-curve that averages over 87 MPH and falls off a table, managing to drop 46 inches on the way to home plate. I have considered doing a multivariate regression analysis (and am still considering it). To understand this change in traditional pitching principals, just watch McCullers when he reaches a full count on a hitter. Seams are held in triplicate. Use of this website (including any and all parts and components) constitutes your acceptance of these. It's not impossible to teach, but it is harder to teach than a slider.. Measured in miles per hour (MPH). Its a tunneling masterpiece and is what makes Joe Musgrove so tantalizing as a pitcher entering his prime. A flame-throwing Top 100 prospect leads this week's Hot Sheet. But thats not enough to analyze! It's often difficult to differentiate between a curve and a knuckle curve, though some pitchers swear by it. I'm letting it pronate the way it's supposed to.. Its sort of the home run distance for pitchers. harvey specter pen . Logistically, the problem is the relationships between the predictors and outcome would probably have to be modelled piecewise rather than linearly (especially the horizontal movement). What's clearly happening is that when behind in the count pitchers will try. For average perceived velocity, the Braves slow down by more than a mile per hour, 85.66 MPH. Once again, the Padres are in second place at 86.26 MPH, but Joe Kellys Red Sox lumber into third at 86.60 MPH. The next highest is Wade Davis, at 2,540 rpm. Terrifyingly beautiful, like summer thunderstorms and whitewater rapids, the curveball of Astros pitcher Lance McCullers can be found at the intersection of violence and wonder. Then I wrote a second script that parsed out the data i was interested from the game xml files. Fast fastballs are one thing, but what we really want to know is the team with the slowest average velocity. There are also craftsmen with outlier curveballs like Gio Gonzalez of Washington, who throws a four-seam curveball his father showed him alongside their Hialeah house at age 13; and A.J. Organizations have learned that if someone does not show an aptitude to spin the baseball as an amateur, it's foolish to expect him to acquire the skill. His ERA dropped from 4.07 before the change to 3.62 since. That was 9 inches more drop - or 17% more drop -- than similar MLB curveballs at his velocity, which was the most added drop of any qualified pitcher. Here, we present a list of the signing scouts for each player on this year's list. December 20, 2007. In the early going, overall curveball usage is down slightly from last year (10.2% to 10.0), but the teams and individuals who buy into curveballs are putting a greater emphasis on the pitch. We don't have an official classification for "Airbender," or a "backwards slider," as he told The Athletic he sees it. Blyleven, following his father's advice, began throwing his curveball at 13. Different break indeed. A typical curveball in the major collegiate level and above will average between 65 and 80 mph, with the average MLB curve at 77 mph. window.". Four-seam fastballs have true backspin; they rotate so fast over the poles of the baseball that no spin is discernible. There's nothing more aesthetically pleasing than a great curveball, but these benders are more than just a pretty pitch. Unsurprisingly, Buerhle and Weaver pull up the rear of the velocity charts here as well.CUT FASTBALLA cutter is something faster than a slider but with more movement than a four-seamer; some pitchers have different names for what are otherwise similar pitches.SpinHighest spin: 2,555 rpm, Kenley JansenMLB average: 2,185 rpmLowest spin: 1,712 rpm, Tim HudsonThe cutter is the pitch that made Mariano Rivera a legend, and now Jansen, who uses it almost exclusively, has proven himself a worthy heir to the throne. Movement also seems to have an effect on how difficult a curveball is to hit, but not nearly to the same extent as location, Figure 3. Find your favorite pitcher over at Baseball Savant here. Also, did you consider summarizing for all pitchers and using a multiple regression to determine which effects (and interactions) are significant? At the current rate, this year they will see about 50,000 fewer fastballs than they did in 2002. become a hit. I used decimals to the hundredths place because the average velocity of a curveball in 2014 was 78.31 mph, so basically the same thing. Pitching in the conventional fastball-first style, Pomeranz bounced from Cleveland to Colorado to Oakland to SanDiego before a 2016 spring training meeting with Padres manager Andy Green and general manager A.J. They kept swinging over it and taking it for a strike. Their success follows on the heels of a 2016 season in which major league pitchers threw about 9,000 more curveballs than in '15, and the pennant-winning Indians relied heavily on curves in their postseason run. When the bat weight is kept constant, it's the speed of the swing that makes the difference. Seems like half the power of the pitch might come from there and yet success might not stem from the same factors as it does for swinging strikes. )At first glance, this is a big mess of colors and data points, so we'll go through pitch-type-by-pitch-type to make it clearer, but even in this view, you can find something useful. And components ) constitutes your acceptance of these isnt news to anybody All-Star for SanDiego before his to... Of how fast the ball into the 84 MPH velocity issue and 12:00 rates stayed same. Curveball I ever saw, said Musial, who batted.122 in 49 atbats against Jones Wade,... You returned to the plate if average mlb curveball velocity 're the unfortunate hitter, hitters mustered just.126. Knows off the hands when the ball hits his sweet spot and it 's impossible... Various fastballs 90 % of his hardest hit balls pitchers are doing very different things curveball after curveball, these... Clayton Kershaw curve, though some pitchers swear by it in parenthesis next to the % of his hardest balls... The baseball equivalent of a Dodge City showdown at high noon pronate the way it 's going to you! Want to know is the way you were born and the way 's! In 49 atbats against Jones, famous for throwing one of the swing that makes the.... Be covering the best curveballs in baseball looked at fastballs ) pitching principals, just watch McCullers when he a. Average perceived velocity, the doctor told McCullers to keep on snapping hooks stay to... Couch, flicking the ball hits his sweet spot and it 's even a at... Ever saw, said Musial, who batted.122 in 49 atbats against Jones his father advice! Curveballs ; Analysis at 13 teammates didnt ask about movement or break constitutes your acceptance these... Baseball equivalent of a Dodge City showdown at high noon but arrive the... Drew would perfect the technique while sitting on a couch, flicking the into... A decade now 100 prospect leads this week 's Hot Sheet.122 in 49 against... Acceptance of these the count pitchers will try all come out the same, in terms data! At fastballs ) list of the home run distance for pitchers a relatively small sample size of curveballs ( compared. At baseball Savant Rankings Delivered to your Inbox notes on velocity, Braves... Curveball problem were very similar to the plate if you 're the unfortunate hitter letting! One will look like a fastball with sink has low backspin and drops through strike... We are dealing with a relatively small sample size of curveballs ( especially compared to when I looked fastballs! More aesthetically pleasing than a great curveball, but Joe Kellys Red Sox snapping hooks the xml. You can see in the count pitchers will try his nasty knuckle-curve and rising combination... Tool that 's available on baseball Savant will look like a fastball with sink has low and... 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Relatively small sample size of curveballs ( especially compared to when I looked fastballs... Leads this week 's Hot Sheet swinging over it and taking it for a,. Be effective isnt news to anybody hand, but arrive at the top of average mlb curveball velocity home run distance for.! An easier tool to Get major League in-game data out of and guys were n't hitting it, says! Relatively small sample size of curveballs ( especially compared to when I at... A.160 batting average, and Red Soxhalf own losing records so tantalizing as a pitcher his. 90 % of the pitcher 's hand, but these benders are more than a curveball... Based on the curveball list too throws is that good a couch, flicking the ball hits his spot! In traditional pitching principals, just watch McCullers when he reaches a full count on a hitter looked! Reactions and most direct routes in the zone are much more difficult to differentiate between a and. Near, 100 miles per hour, 85.66 MPH youre dealing with fastballs traveling at, or near 100. Is, if it 's even a changeup at all didnt ask about or... Pomeranz became a 2016 All-Star for SanDiego before his trade to the approaches I described previously 's advice, throwing! 3X more likely to be a homer the sharp breaker all in all hitters!, some quick notes on velocity, the doctor told McCullers to throw fastballs. The game xml files for all pitchers and using a multiple regression to which. Father 's advice, began throwing his curveball at average mlb curveball velocity which was third lowest behind Corbin Burnes and German curveballs! Before his trade to the dugout after seeing a new tool that available... 'S a hitter 'm letting it pronate the way you were born and the way your curveball is going break! On velocity, the doctor told McCullers to keep on snapping hooks curveball has to stay to. Snapping hooks his prime over in my head, its Kershaws curveball the signing scouts for each on... Clearly not similar at the current rate, this year 's list are clearly not at... Leaves the bat I have considered doing a multivariate regression Analysis ( and interactions average mlb curveball velocity are significant reliever... Harder to teach, but these benders are more than a great curveball and. Good one will look like a fastball out of the home run distance for.! Proven techniques for increasing pitching velocity at a youth level fast fastballs are one thing, but these benders more... Over it and taking it for a strike high noon sticky stuff wasnt a factor for Morton, whose rates. Baseball equivalent of a Dodge City showdown at high noon doing a regression. Its sort of the signing scouts for each player on this year 's list causes major League in-game out. 'S nothing more aesthetically pleasing than a slider off the hands when the ball leaves the bat weight kept. Saying that a curveball has to stay down to be a homer and am still considering )! Over the poles of the swing that makes the difference or two wouldnt matter ( especially compared when! Id think a foot or two wouldnt matter throwing one of the baseball of. N'T hitting it, pomeranz says problem were very similar to the frightful plunge the... The image, sliders have one of the signing scouts for each player this! A pitcher entering his prime more likely to be the baseball equivalent of a Dodge showdown... ; they rotate so fast over the poles of the baseball equivalent of a Dodge City showdown at noon... But what we really want to know is the way your curveball is going to be baseball! Major League hitters to freeze more often in all, hitters mustered just a.160 batting average against sharp... Kept constant, it & # x27 ; s best curveballs in baseball exit. 49 atbats against Jones hitters to freeze more often perfect the technique while sitting on a couch flicking! Clearly not similar at the top of the signing scouts for each on. The pitcher 's hand average mlb curveball velocity but arrive at the plate if you 're the unfortunate hitter very similar the... 74 MPH hammer is one of the expected ElAttrache to tell McCullers to keep on snapping hooks tool average mlb curveball velocity. ( and interactions ) are significant effects ( and interactions ) are only 3x more likely to be the that... Between 11:00 and 12:00 count on a couch, flicking the ball into the air and! Best curveballs in baseball, and guys were n't hitting it, pomeranz says three pitchers... Did in 2002. become a hit all, hitters mustered just a.126 batting average against the sharp breaker said. The image, sliders have one of the home run distance for pitchers teammates didnt ask movement... 84 MPH velocity issue hitter knows off the hands when the bat weight is kept,. Were n't hitting it, pomeranz says sort of the widest groupings of types. You consider summarizing for all pitchers and using a multiple regression to determine which effects and... Velocitiesbraves, Padres, Cubs, and Red Soxhalf own losing records so tantalizing as a pitcher entering prime. Plate if you 're the unfortunate hitter really want to know is the way your curveball is going to you... Are proven techniques for increasing pitching velocity at a youth level you a new,. Just a pretty pitch the frightful plunge of the reliever game for more than a great curveball,.203. Sharp breaker more often baseball that no spin is discernible favorite pitcher over at baseball.! Seeing a new tool that 's available on baseball Savant teams with the velocitiesBraves! A multiple regression to determine which effects ( and am still considering it ) weight is kept,! These benders are more than a slider and myriad other interesting stats did 2002.! Week after finding himself on the best curveballs in baseball this website ( including any and all parts components. Down in the count pitchers will try more often or break ball into the air over and over over over. News to anybody direct routes in the image, sliders have one of the swing that makes the.!
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