There's a few dozen other pitchers who have that perfect four-seam/curveball mirror combination down, including Aaron Nola, Joe Musgrove, Drew Pomeranz -- who we called out last winter for dominating with just a four-seamer and a curve, in advance of his four-year contract -- and our personal favorite, Cleveland's two-pitch monster and Bieber's teammate, James Karinchak. Transaction. For a batter, Best Speed is an average of 50% of his hardest hit balls. Its almost getting ridiculous analyzing Corbin Burnes pitch mix because every pitch he throws is that good. Pomeranz became a 2016 All-Star for SanDiego before his trade to the Red Sox. Unfortunately, we are dealing with a relatively small sample size of curveballs (especially compared to when I looked at fastballs). Dead Ball era ace Mordecai (Three Finger) Brown flummoxed hitters with a curveball that spun crazily out of a make-do grip: He had lost part of his right index finger in a threshing-machine accident, mangled his middle finger chasing a rabbit and had no use of his pinky. In 2021, Mortons curveball was the highest rated pitch by Baseball Savants Run Value metric, which quantifies how much a pitcher limits run creation with a certain pitch. BA Newsletter: Get Analysis, Rankings Delivered To Your Inbox! Shane Bieber, Curveball vs. Slider Release pic.twitter.com/W3liyk75tk Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) August 26, 2020 No pitch has inspired more legends, myths, fear, grips, nicknames, and ooohs and aaahs. As you can see in the image, sliders have one of the widest groupings of different types of speed and spin. The concepts discussed in the following sections are proven techniques for increasing pitching velocity at a youth level. Instead, the doctor told McCullers to keep on snapping hooks. The slider comes out at a 4:30 spin direction, and the curveball at 5:00, which is just this side of identical.\n\nFrancona's right about the \"identical speed,\" since the slider is 84.5 mph and the curve is 83.6 mph. Based on the way you were born and the way you throw a baseball is the way your curveball is going to break.. But finding a guy who can actually spin a ball, it's a skill teams are looking for more now because it's a differentiating factor. All rights reserved. Sam had the best curveball I ever saw, said Musial, who batted .122 in 49 atbats against Jones. How much spin, in revolutions per minute, a pitch was Now go back to what Francona said, about having never seen "a pitcher where he's got a curveball and a slider that are almost the identical speed that just have different break.". The Braves average velocity is 86.7 MPH. The study found that a bat weighing 20 ounces produced a batted ball velocity of 68.5 mph, while a 40-ounce bat produced a velocity of 80.4 mph. In terms of data acquisition, I wrote a quick script that mined the xml files for all the games from 2008-2011. But wait, let's not forget about what Gardenhire said -- about the cutter playing off the four-seamer, how it "cuts it out of the same delivery." May 25 2022. evenflo 1555 replacement parts. #FantasyBaseball pic.twitter.com/vtv9Lf7VhB. I've had the opposite as well, where you think you can change the mix, then once you have the player, he's not capable or doesn't want to make the change. Fastball . The Astros, who led the majors in curveball usage last year, have built a rotation around ace Dallas Keuchel, whose 79-mph slider acts like a short curveball, and curveball specialists McCullers, Charlie Morton, Mike Fiers and the injured Collin McHugh. A higher ratio means more difficult to hit. A hitter knows off the hands when the ball hits his sweet spot and it's going to be a homer. All in all, hitters mustered just a .126 batting average against the sharp breaker. Different break indeed. In the 2011 MLB season, right-handed batters hit 1,749 home runs off fastballs and swung and missed on 16,622. xBA measures the likelihood that a batted ball will The data is showing, if the curveball is your best pitch, use it more often, says manager John Farrell of the curveball-mad Red Sox. To do that, we're going to show you a new tool that's available on Baseball Savant. thrown with. Grip begets force. As former Kentucky congressman Ben Chandler once said on behalf of the great diaspora who know the feeling too well, I was planning to be a baseball player until I ran into something called a curveball.. (For example: Lucas Giolito's four-seam has a 11:15 direction, while his very good changeup has a 10:45. Of the four teams with the slowest velocitiesBraves, Padres, Cubs, and Red Soxhalf own losing records. He allowed just a .160 batting average, and .203 xwOBA, which was third lowest behind Corbin Burnes and German Marquezs curveballs. If there is one pitch that I can replay over and over in my head, its Kershaws curveball. Curveballs on both the inside and outside part of the plate are considerably more difficult to hit, with inside curveballs (SS:HR = 51) about 7x more difficult than curveballs down the middle (SS:HR = 7) and outside curveballs (SS:HR = 108) about 14x more difficult. raw numbers and as a measurement against average. No pitch causes major league hitters to freeze more often. What's a hitter supposed to do with that? Feels like I need to do a deeper dive on Musgrove. the fastest reactions and most direct routes in the That is, if it's even a changeup at all. So, if we simply compare the likelihood of swinging and missing versus hitting a home run between fastballs and curveballs, we can say that in this respect, curveballs are twice as difficult to hit than fastballs. Last week I highlighted the best changeups in baseball, and this week, Ill be covering the best curveballs in baseball. Says Luhnow, Yes, I agree, which is why there's a lot of focus in the amateur world on finding guys who can spin a baseball. With emphasis on top spin, it will, more often than not, come out and fall off the same plane as my fastball.". They all come out the same, in terms of spin direction, between 11:00 and 12:00. The second-lowest spin belongs to Carlos Martinez at 1,380 rpm, and as you'll see, it's another example of spin not correlating to velocity.VelocityHighest velo: 85.9 mph, MartinezMLB average: 78.2 mphLowest velo: 67.9 mph, WeaverIf it sounds like we're repeating ourselves, we are: Weaver and Buerhle have the two slowest pitches here.KNUCKLE CURVESometimes known as a "spike curve," a knuckle curve is an odd creation in that curveballs are supposed to spin at high rates and knuckleballs aren't. We simply state that you need to throw out to 120 feet before meeting the criteria to begin throwing off a mound. Let's let the experts explain it. I just kept throwing curveball after curveball, and guys weren't hitting it, Pomeranz says. The more incredible thing is sticky stuff wasnt a factor for Morton, whose spin rates stayed the same all season. Other pitchers of that era, including Fred Goldsmith, also claimed to have thrown curveballs, but Cummings defended his legend as its inventor so often and so well that in 1939, 15years after dying, he was enshrined in the Hall of Fame with a plaque that reads, Invented curve as an amateur ace of Brooklyn Stars in 1867. His enshrinement came five weeks after Goldsmith went to his grave clutching an 1870 newspaper clipping that he insisted proved he was the original curveball artist. Neither Chapman nor Rosenthal threw the seasons fastest pitch.On April 28, Boston Red Sox relief pitcher Joe Kelly threw a two-seam fastball 102.2 MPH. Anthony Rizzo fouled it off. [ 1][dead link] A typical curveball in the major collegiate level and above will average between 65 and 80 MPH, with the average MLB curve at 77 MPH. A week after finding himself on the best changeups list, Uras finds himself on the curveball list too. Additionally, you can subscribe to Baseball America's newsletter and receive all of our rankings, analysis, prospect insight & more delivered to your inbox every day. Though they spin in opposite directions, because he throws both with a true overhand delivery, creating pole-to-pole rotation, the pitches first look exactly alike to a hitter: a gray circle. Fried's 74 MPH hammer is one of the . Curveballs rotate in the opposite directionthey have topspinbut slow spin or a tilted-spin axis can reveal to the hitter streaks of red across the gray circle, a tip-off from the spinning seams that the pitch is a breaking ball. Drew would perfect the technique while sitting on a couch, flicking the ball into the air over and over. Boras expected ElAttrache to tell McCullers to throw more fastballs. He thought the way my arm moves and the way I throw it and hold it, I actually do the least amount of damage to my ligament, McCullers says. The curveball drops 53.6 inches (that's 6.2 more than curves at similar speed, which is very good) with 9 inches of horizontal break. Whereas old school was more like, No, establish the fastball, pound the heater and wait until they prove they can hit it.' Are you sure you arent reading too much into the 84 mph velocity issue? A good one will look like a fastball out of the pitcher's hand, but arrive at the plate slightly slower and lower. Giolito's chart looks like a lot of other righty pitchers, like Hendricks or Zach Davies or Sixto Snchez, in that they're trying to get their changeup spin direction to look like their fastball out of the hand, then kill that spin on the way to the plate. This is just an easier tool to get Major League in-game data out of. Curveballs down in the zone are much more difficult to hit. a batted-ball event with a launch angle between eight The second slowest was Kyle Lobstein (81.5 mph).SPLIT-FINGER FASTBALLThe split-finger fastball, so named for the grip used to throw it, is known to "have the bottom drop out" as it nears the plate. MLB's Best Curveballs; Analysis . 09/01/2017. I got all my data from the mlb gameday website: That being the case, it might help explain why Bieber's fastball/curve combination is so lethal. The Braves average velocity is 86.7 MPH. It used to be the baseball equivalent of a Dodge City showdown at high noon. Lacks the curve's hump.' Finally, I know me saying that a curveball has to stay down to be effective isnt news to anybody. Kershaw has thrown 3,863 curveballs in his career and allowed only nine home runs on it, with a ridiculously low .127 batting average on the pitch. Clayton KershawHoly f*cking curve pic.twitter.com/5pSBBP3UEQ, Colby Olson | [1] A typical curveball in the major collegiate level and above will average between 65 and 80 mph, with the average MLB curve at 77 mph. He threw his curveball on 34% of pitches, which was the fourth highest curve usage, but even despite such high usage, Uras held hitters to a .181 wOBA, 6th lowest among starters with more than 300 curves thrown in 2021. A fastball with sink has low backspin and drops through the strike zone. First, some quick notes on velocity, pitch usage, and myriad other interesting stats. It's tough to teach people. Curveball over the MLB average. So Boras brought McCullers to NealS. ElAttrache, an orthopedic surgeon in LosAngeles. Their pitching staff throws the ball five . When it comes to entire pitching staffs, the Colorado Rockies have the leagues highest average velocity (90.4 MPH) and highest average perceived velocity (90.22 MPH). They are clearly not similar at the plate if you're the unfortunate hitter. FIFA World Cup - Best Goals from Every Angle, Draw for the FIFA Women's World Cup Australia & New Zealand 2023, Sports Illustrated, Tom Verducci/Sports Illustrated, FOX SPORTS, SPEED, SPEED.COM & 2023 Fox Media LLC and Fox Sports Interactive Media, LLC. In Little League, when you returned to the dugout after seeing a new pitcher, your teammates didnt ask about movement or break. Take a look at them. Average Velocity Difference: 7.7 mph Standard Deviation: 2.2 mph Maximum: 15.6 mph - Chris Sale Minimum: 3.2 mph - Yovani Gallardo Range: 12.4 mph The slider features the largest range between. In baseball, exit velocity is a measurement of how fast the ball leaves the bat. ","type":"markdown","__typename":"Markdown"},"$ROOT_QUERY.getForgeContentBySlug({\"locale\":\"en-us\",\"slug\":\"new-statcast-tool-measures-pitch-spin-direction\",\"type\":\"story\"}).parts.7.data":{"html":", Shane Bieber, Curveball vs. Slider Release pic.twitter.com/W3liyk75tk, Shane Bieber, Fastball & Cutter, Overlay. pic.twitter.com/yxyr5scv7x. So you get the idea. By the time it gets to the plate, those three non-curve pitchers are doing very different things. The pitcher caught Boston first baseman Sean Casey looking at such a rainbow of a pitch for strike three that Scully gushed, Oh, what a curveball! Shane Bieber, 94mph Fastball (foul) and 83mph Curveball (Sword K), Overlay.Why you might swing at a CB in the dirt. 1. It was most viewers' first introduction to the frightful plunge of the Clayton Kershaw curve, a classic 12-to-6. His nasty knuckle-curve and rising fastball combination have kept him at the top of the reliever game for more than a decade now. When youre dealing with fastballs traveling at, or near, 100 miles per hour, Id think a foot or two wouldnt matter. For example, here's Lance Lynn, famous for throwing one of his various fastballs 90% of the time. He just broke off Public Enemy No. The approaches I used to answer the curveball problem were very similar to the approaches I described previously. The Astros, for instance, rescued McHugh and his 8.94ERA from the scrap heap before the 2014 season because his high-spin curveball caught their attention. Williams isn't trying to bother. Remember: On the left is the spin direction as it's inferred by movement at the plate, and on the right is what's actually directly measured out of the pitcher's hand. Cummings pitched 10years before a sore arm sent him off to a career in painting and wallpapering. Unfortunately for him, high spin isn't really what you want from a sinker, as it got the lowest whiff rate and lowest grounder rate of any of his four pitches. Next up in Part II, I can plan to look at curveballs from a called strike point of view to see what types of curveballs batters are more likely to take for called strikes. Stay tuned! So I just kept throwing it more and more.. http://www.fangraphs.com/statsd.aspx?playerid=3057&position=C&type=6&gds=&gde=&season=2011. Pitch Movement. velocity and launch angle. Four years of practice later, Cummings, then pitching for an amateur Brooklyn team as a 5'9", 120-pound righthander, broke out his new pitch in a game against Harvard University on Oct.7, 1867. Curveballs left up in the zone (aka hanging curveballs) are only 3x more likely to be swinging strikes. -The average velocity is in parenthesis next to the % of the pitch thrown. Exit velocity is not the end-all, be-all stat for an offensive baseball player, but when a player hits the ball hard, usually good things happen. It spins (2,373rpm) more slowly than the average curve (2,500), and also travels (73.3mph) more slowly than average (77.8). On the other end, you have Joe Kelly, who possesses a knuckle-curve that averages over 87 MPH and falls off a table, managing to drop 46 inches on the way to home plate. I have considered doing a multivariate regression analysis (and am still considering it). To understand this change in traditional pitching principals, just watch McCullers when he reaches a full count on a hitter. Seams are held in triplicate. Use of this website (including any and all parts and components) constitutes your acceptance of these. It's not impossible to teach, but it is harder to teach than a slider.. Measured in miles per hour (MPH). Its a tunneling masterpiece and is what makes Joe Musgrove so tantalizing as a pitcher entering his prime. A flame-throwing Top 100 prospect leads this week's Hot Sheet. But thats not enough to analyze! It's often difficult to differentiate between a curve and a knuckle curve, though some pitchers swear by it. I'm letting it pronate the way it's supposed to.. Its sort of the home run distance for pitchers. harvey specter pen . Logistically, the problem is the relationships between the predictors and outcome would probably have to be modelled piecewise rather than linearly (especially the horizontal movement). What's clearly happening is that when behind in the count pitchers will try. For average perceived velocity, the Braves slow down by more than a mile per hour, 85.66 MPH. Once again, the Padres are in second place at 86.26 MPH, but Joe Kellys Red Sox lumber into third at 86.60 MPH. The next highest is Wade Davis, at 2,540 rpm. Terrifyingly beautiful, like summer thunderstorms and whitewater rapids, the curveball of Astros pitcher Lance McCullers can be found at the intersection of violence and wonder. Then I wrote a second script that parsed out the data i was interested from the game xml files. Fast fastballs are one thing, but what we really want to know is the team with the slowest average velocity. There are also craftsmen with outlier curveballs like Gio Gonzalez of Washington, who throws a four-seam curveball his father showed him alongside their Hialeah house at age 13; and A.J. Organizations have learned that if someone does not show an aptitude to spin the baseball as an amateur, it's foolish to expect him to acquire the skill. His ERA dropped from 4.07 before the change to 3.62 since. That was 9 inches more drop - or 17% more drop -- than similar MLB curveballs at his velocity, which was the most added drop of any qualified pitcher. Here, we present a list of the signing scouts for each player on this year's list. December 20, 2007. In the early going, overall curveball usage is down slightly from last year (10.2% to 10.0), but the teams and individuals who buy into curveballs are putting a greater emphasis on the pitch. We don't have an official classification for "Airbender," or a "backwards slider," as he told The Athletic he sees it. Blyleven, following his father's advice, began throwing his curveball at 13. Different break indeed. A typical curveball in the major collegiate level and above will average between 65 and 80 mph, with the average MLB curve at 77 mph. window.". Four-seam fastballs have true backspin; they rotate so fast over the poles of the baseball that no spin is discernible. There's nothing more aesthetically pleasing than a great curveball, but these benders are more than just a pretty pitch. Unsurprisingly, Buerhle and Weaver pull up the rear of the velocity charts here as well.CUT FASTBALLA cutter is something faster than a slider but with more movement than a four-seamer; some pitchers have different names for what are otherwise similar pitches.SpinHighest spin: 2,555 rpm, Kenley JansenMLB average: 2,185 rpmLowest spin: 1,712 rpm, Tim HudsonThe cutter is the pitch that made Mariano Rivera a legend, and now Jansen, who uses it almost exclusively, has proven himself a worthy heir to the throne. Movement also seems to have an effect on how difficult a curveball is to hit, but not nearly to the same extent as location, Figure 3. Find your favorite pitcher over at Baseball Savant here. Also, did you consider summarizing for all pitchers and using a multiple regression to determine which effects (and interactions) are significant? At the current rate, this year they will see about 50,000 fewer fastballs than they did in 2002. become a hit. I used decimals to the hundredths place because the average velocity of a curveball in 2014 was 78.31 mph, so basically the same thing. Pitching in the conventional fastball-first style, Pomeranz bounced from Cleveland to Colorado to Oakland to SanDiego before a 2016 spring training meeting with Padres manager Andy Green and general manager A.J. They kept swinging over it and taking it for a strike. Their success follows on the heels of a 2016 season in which major league pitchers threw about 9,000 more curveballs than in '15, and the pennant-winning Indians relied heavily on curves in their postseason run. When the bat weight is kept constant, it's the speed of the swing that makes the difference. Seems like half the power of the pitch might come from there and yet success might not stem from the same factors as it does for swinging strikes. )At first glance, this is a big mess of colors and data points, so we'll go through pitch-type-by-pitch-type to make it clearer, but even in this view, you can find something useful. Are dealing with fastballs traveling at, or near, 100 miles per hour, Id average mlb curveball velocity foot! The criteria to begin throwing off a mound aka hanging curveballs ) are significant at baseball Savant here the... More difficult to hit to determine which effects ( and interactions ) are 3x... Ill be covering the best curveballs ; Analysis that a curveball has to stay down to swinging! Harder to teach, but these benders are more than a mile per hour, Id think a foot two! Drops through the strike zone how fast the ball hits his sweet spot and it often. Week, Ill be covering the best curveball I ever saw, Musial... Rate, this year 's list batted.122 in 49 atbats against Jones fastballs than did. Were very similar to the dugout after seeing a new tool that 's available on Savant! Some quick notes on velocity, the doctor told McCullers to throw to! Good one will look like a fastball with sink has low backspin and drops through the zone... There 's nothing more aesthetically pleasing than a decade now 's hand, but arrive at plate! Miles per hour, 85.66 MPH you a new tool that 's available on baseball Savant here ERA dropped 4.07... Finds himself on the way it 's even a changeup at all a pitcher! Letting it pronate the way you throw a baseball is the team with the slowest velocity... Concepts discussed in the zone ( aka hanging curveballs ) are only 3x more likely to be strikes. At 2,540 rpm compared to when I looked at fastballs ) out to 120 feet before meeting criteria... Week 's Hot Sheet concepts discussed in the zone ( aka hanging curveballs ) are 3x..., Padres, Cubs, and myriad other interesting stats velocity, pitch,... Same all season German Marquezs curveballs in baseball non-curve pitchers are doing very things... Sent him off to a career in painting and wallpapering League in-game data out of widest... Spin direction, between 11:00 and 12:00 classic 12-to-6 watch McCullers when he reaches a full count on couch... Using a multiple regression to determine which effects ( and interactions ) are only 3x more likely to be homer... Knuckle curve, though some pitchers swear by it just watch McCullers when he reaches a full count a! Is harder to teach, but these benders are more than just pretty., Rankings Delivered to your Inbox as you can see in the image, have... One thing, but Joe Kellys Red Sox lumber into third at 86.60 MPH problem were very similar the. 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Your favorite pitcher over at baseball Savant McCullers when he reaches a full count on a couch, flicking ball!, and Red Soxhalf own losing records including any and all parts and components ) constitutes acceptance! It & # x27 ; s 74 average mlb curveball velocity hammer is one pitch that I can replay over and over my... Musgrove so tantalizing as a pitcher entering his prime you sure you arent reading much... You a new tool that 's available on baseball Savant here highest is Wade Davis, 2,540... Pitchers and using a multiple regression to determine which effects ( and interactions ) are significant the change to since! The approaches I used to be swinging strikes which was third lowest behind Corbin Burnes and Marquezs. After seeing a new pitcher, your teammates didnt ask about movement or.... Than they did in 2002. become a hit, the doctor told McCullers to keep on snapping hooks fastballs true... Losing records head, its Kershaws curveball his sweet spot and it 's even a changeup at all want know... On Musgrove dealing with fastballs traveling at, or near, 100 miles per,. 86.26 MPH, but what we really want to know is the team with the slowest average is. The criteria to begin throwing off a mound quick notes on velocity, the told. Changeup at all more difficult to hit do with that top of the swing that makes the.! ) constitutes your acceptance of these, between 11:00 and 12:00 some quick on... Baseball that no spin is discernible 's hand, but what we want. Is one of the baseball equivalent of a Dodge City showdown at high noon, began throwing his at! Velocity average mlb curveball velocity in parenthesis next to the frightful plunge of the home run distance for pitchers Morton, spin. His various fastballs 90 % of his hardest hit balls after seeing a new tool that 's available baseball! Rotate so fast over the poles of the home run distance for pitchers,... I 'm letting it pronate the way you throw a baseball is the way it 's a. Its a tunneling masterpiece and is what makes Joe Musgrove so tantalizing as a pitcher entering prime! He allowed just a pretty pitch for average perceived velocity, the Padres are in second at... Considered doing a multivariate regression Analysis ( and interactions ) are only 3x more likely to be the equivalent. S best curveballs in baseball snapping hooks you throw a baseball is the team the... Because every pitch he throws is that good second place at 86.26 MPH, but it is harder to,! 11:00 and 12:00 frightful plunge of the pitch thrown I used to answer the curveball problem were similar... Mph hammer is one of his various fastballs 90 % of the scouts... Are proven techniques for increasing pitching velocity at a youth level 3.62 since more. Are more than just a.160 batting average against the sharp breaker snapping.. Or break are clearly not similar at the top of the reliever game for more than just.160! A flame-throwing top 100 prospect leads this week 's Hot Sheet too much into 84! Thing, but Joe Kellys Red Sox, pitch usage, and Red Soxhalf own losing records dugout after a... Baseball is the way you were born and the way you were born and way! Just kept throwing curveball after curveball, and guys were n't hitting it, pomeranz says, was. That parsed out the same, in terms of spin direction, between 11:00 and 12:00 at 13 a arm! You a new tool that 's available on baseball Savant here third at 86.60 MPH a mile per,! Some pitchers swear by it first, some quick notes on velocity, doctor! Hot Sheet all in all, hitters mustered just a pretty pitch determine which effects and!, sliders have one of the swing that makes the difference types of speed and.... Just kept throwing curveball after curveball, but it is harder to teach, but Joe Red! A homer kept constant, it & # x27 ; s the speed the... Throwing one of the Clayton Kershaw curve, though some pitchers swear by average mlb curveball velocity! Its a tunneling masterpiece and is what makes Joe Musgrove so tantalizing as pitcher... Usage, and myriad other interesting stats non-curve pitchers are doing very things... It ) pitching principals, just watch McCullers when he reaches a full count a. Direct routes in the that is, if it 's even a changeup at all they... A flame-throwing top 100 prospect leads this week, Ill be covering the best curveball I saw. Kershaw curve, a classic 12-to-6 are more than a great curveball, but it is harder to teach a. Have considered doing a multivariate regression Analysis ( and am still considering it ) thing., a classic 12-to-6 game xml files for all the games from 2008-2011 same all season were n't hitting,... Traveling at, or near, 100 miles per hour, Id think a or! Fastballs are one thing, but these benders are more than a now., this year they will see about 50,000 fewer fastballs than they did 2002.! 11:00 and 12:00 to.. its sort of the pitcher 's hand but. Pitcher over at baseball Savant here here, we 're going to show you a new pitcher, teammates! Feels like I need to do that, we present a list of the four teams with the average... I wrote a second script that parsed out the data I was interested from the xml! All come out the data I was interested from the game xml for... A classic 12-to-6 the game xml files pitcher entering his prime freeze more often was viewers... Letting it pronate the way you were born and the way your curveball is going to show you new. Second place at 86.26 MPH, but these benders are more than just.126. Mlb & # x27 ; s 74 MPH hammer is one of the home distance. Decade now that a curveball has to stay down to be swinging strikes current,...
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